Financial market analysts point out that current short sellers of the dollar are facing a tough choice. Although the dollar is overall in a downtrend, the recent falling momentum has started to slow down. The employment data released last week has temporarily restrained the dollar's upward trend, but it may take some time to restart a significant downtrend.

Currently, a large number of investors in the market have laid out short positions on the US dollar, which means that even if the dollar continues to fall in the future, its speed and extent may be limited. It is worth noting that the interest rate differential between the dollar and the yen as well as the euro remains significant, providing some support for the dollar.

Although the rapid fall of the US dollar triggered by employment data may attract more investors to join the short camp, it also simultaneously reduces the possibility of a further significant fall of the dollar. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve may implement its first rate cut as early as September 17, while the next rate cut may have to wait until December 10. For those traders expecting a fall in the dollar, this long waiting period may bring enormous capital cost pressure.

In this situation, investors need to weigh potential returns against holding costs, and closely monitor economic data and changes in central bank policies to adjust investment strategies in a timely manner. At the same time, they should also be cautious of the short-term volatility risks that may arise from changes in market sentiment.